The Quebec election has entered its final week with the Parti Québécois holding the lead in a new voting-intentions survey and the Coalition Avenir Québec falling to fourth place among decided voters.
The Leger survey, conducted from September 25 to 27 among 1,001 eligible Quebec voters, placed the Parti Québécois at 30 per cent, followed by the Quebec Liberal Party at 26 per cent, the Conservative Party of Quebec at 18 per cent and the CAQ at 16 per cent.
Québec solidaire was not included among the four leading parties in the figures highlighted by Leger’s latest release.
The survey was published on September 28, the second and final day of advance voting before the October 5 provincial election.
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What the latest Quebec election poll shows
The Parti Québécois remained in first place, while the Liberal Party gained three points compared with Leger’s previous survey and the CAQ lost four points.
The result marks a sharp change in the CAQ’s position during the campaign, although voting-intention surveys do not determine the number of seats a party will win.
Quebec elects members of the National Assembly in individual electoral divisions, meaning that the distribution of support across regions will matter as much as the provincewide figures.
Leger also reported that 74 per cent of Quebecers wanted a change in government and that 71 per cent of decided voters considered their choice final.
Those figures suggest that the remaining days of the campaign may be focused on turnout, late movement among undecided voters and efforts by parties to protect or expand their strongest regional support, including final pitches before the vote.
The survey results should be treated as a snapshot of public opinion rather than a forecast of the final result.
When Quebecers can still vote
Election day is Monday, October 5, 2026.
Advance polls were open on September 27 and 28, with voting places operating from 9:30 a.m. to 8 p.m.
Eligible voters who did not vote in advance may still have other options before election day, including voting at the returning officer’s office during the scheduled period from September 29 to October 1.
Élections Québec says the election is being conducted across 127 electoral divisions under a revised electoral map.
Voters should verify their electoral division and polling location through the official election information service before going to vote.
Why the final week matters
The campaign is taking place against a fragmented party landscape in which several parties are competing for support rather than one traditional two-party race dominating the province.
A party can lead the popular vote without winning the most seats, particularly when support is concentrated unevenly across electoral divisions.
The final campaign days will therefore place added importance on local races, candidate visibility and whether supporters who say their choice is settled actually cast a ballot.
The survey’s finding that a large majority of Quebecers want a change in government also creates competing challenges for the parties.
Opposition parties will seek to turn dissatisfaction with the current government into votes, while the CAQ will need to persuade voters that its record and platform justify another mandate.
The Liberals and Conservatives will also be looking to convert their support into wins in the regions and constituencies where their candidates are strongest.
What happens next
Campaigning continues until the close of voting on October 5, subject to Quebec’s election-period rules.
Preliminary results will begin to be released after polls close at 8 p.m., as election officers count ballots and transmit results from polling stations.
Élections Québec notes that preliminary results are updated during election night and that official results follow after the addition of votes and the completion of the validation process.
Until then, the Leger poll provides an indication of the contest’s direction but cannot establish who will form Quebec’s next government.
The decisive figures will be the votes cast in each of the province’s 127 electoral divisions on October 5.
Frequently Asked Questions
When is the 2026 Quebec provincial election?
The provincial election will be held on Monday, October 5, 2026.
Which party is leading the latest Quebec election poll?
The Parti Québécois leads the latest Leger survey among decided voters with 30 per cent support.
What were the latest Quebec election poll numbers?
Leger reported 30 per cent for the PQ, 26 per cent for the Quebec Liberal Party, 18 per cent for the Conservative Party of Quebec and 16 per cent for the CAQ.
Can Quebecers still vote before election day?
Advance voting ended September 28, but eligible voters may have additional voting options through their returning officer’s office before election day.
When will Quebec election results be released?
Preliminary results are expected after polls close at 8 p.m. on October 5, with official results confirmed later through the validation process.
Fact-Checked: Key dates, voting procedures and election-result information were checked against Élections Québec and Quebec government information, while polling figures were checked against the survey publisher’s September 28 release.
Disclaimer: Polling results are estimates of voting intentions and do not guarantee the final vote or the number of seats won by any party.